Day 1371: "Exhausted."

WTF Just Happened Today

Monday, October 21, 2024

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• 📈 Election Polling Tracker.

• Harris +1.0 points (New York Times)
  Harris +1.8 points (538)
  Harris +1.6 points (Nate Silver)
  Harris +1.6 points (The Economist)
  Harris +0.9 points (RealClearPolitics)

• 🔮 Election Forecast Tracker.

• Trump wins 52 times out of 100. Harris wins 48 times out of 100. (538)
  Trump wins 53 times out of 100. Harris wins 47 times out of 100. (Nate Silver)
  Trump wins 54 times out of 100. Harris wins 45 times out of 100. (The Economist)
  Trump wins 59 times out of 100. Harris wins 41 times out of 100. (Election Betting Odds)
  Trump wins 52 times out of 100. Harris wins 47 times out of 100. (JHK Forecasts)
  Trump wins 58 times out of 100. Harris wins 41 times out of 100. (Super Model)

• 📅 The WTFJHT Calendar: Now until then.

• 📺 Oct. 23: Harris CNN town hall
  🗳️ Nov. 5: Election Day.
  ⚖️ Nov. 26: Trump is sentenced.

• ✅ Get election ready: Register to vote, update your address, or request an absentee ballot at Vote.org, TurboVote.org, RocktheVote.org, or VoteFromAbroad.org.

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1/ With 15 days until the 2024 election, Harris and Trump are essentially tied across the seven battleground states that will decide the race. The polls have been tightening over the last two weeks, with Harris now ahead by about one point on average – her smallest lead since the Democratic convention. And while Trump has gained some ground over the past couple weeks, the margin between Trump and Harris is 2 percentage points or less in all seven major swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin). Although Harris is the favorite to win the popular vote, the Electoral College bias favors Republicans by about 2 percentage points. Meaning: the race remains best characterized as a toss-up. (Washington Post / New York Times / FiveThirtyEight)

2/ Elon Musk’s pro-Trump super PAC will give away $1 million a day until Election Day to a “random” registered voter who signs his petition supporting “free speech and the right to bear arms.” Musk has also promised to pay people $47 for each re...

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