Variance Betting Episode 2 | Professional Gambler Shares His English Premier League Preseason Picks

The Transfer Flow Podcast

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler.

Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/

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TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Introduction

1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle

4:04 - the goal of Variance betting

5:45 - models + humans

8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle

13:26 - Learning from your mistakes

14:04 - The market implied model

16:09 - Value in the winners market

17:10 - Different odds styles

18:41 - Back to the winners market

19:56 - The Arsenal wager

21:43 - Liverpool's value

22:28 - The top four

23:56 - Bankroll management

25:00 - Manchester United's value

25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value

27:33 - The relegation market

28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances

28:50 - Ipswich's Odds

29:12 - Leicester losing their coach

29:33 - Crystal Palace

30:41 - Wolves chances

30:58 - Everton to stay up?

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