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#193 'The Bulls Are No Longer In Charge' — Tom McClellan On What The Market Is Signaling Right Now

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Manage episode 436844737 series 3510102
Contenu fourni par Julia La Roche. Tout le contenu du podcast, y compris les épisodes, les graphiques et les descriptions de podcast, est téléchargé et fourni directement par Julia La Roche ou son partenaire de plateforme de podcast. Si vous pensez que quelqu'un utilise votre œuvre protégée sans votre autorisation, vous pouvez suivre le processus décrit ici https://fr.player.fm/legal.

✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia

Tom McClellan, editor of The McClellan Market Report, and a prominent figure in the field of stock market analysis and technical analysis, joins Julia La Roche on episode 193 to share his views on the economy and markets in a presentation of charts.

Tom is the son of Sherman and Marian McClellan, who are recognized for creating the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index in 1969. Tom McClellan has done extensive analytical spreadsheet development for the stock and commodities markets, including the synthesizing of the four-year Presidential Cycle Pattern. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point and served as an Army helicopter pilot for 11 years.

**DISCLOSURE** Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond’s yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond’s YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account.

Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia

Timestamps:

0:00 Welcome back Tom

1:00 Where we are today in the markets

2:00 McClellan Oscillator showing the bulls are no longer in control

6:30 Presidential Cycle Pattern

10:50 Liquidity

12:40 Gold

20:29 Japanese Yen

22:00 Mexican Peso

23:25 Gold

25:25 Dollar

31:40 McClellan Oscillator explained, signaling an overbought and bearish condition in the markets

33:16 Are recession signals flashing in the market?

36:00 Demographics

38:27 Market timing

40:41 Federal Reserve is 13 months overdue for cutting

43:00 Presidential Cycle

46:29 Parting thoughts

Links:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/

https://twitter.com/McClellanOsc

  continue reading

196 episodes

Artwork
iconPartager
 
Manage episode 436844737 series 3510102
Contenu fourni par Julia La Roche. Tout le contenu du podcast, y compris les épisodes, les graphiques et les descriptions de podcast, est téléchargé et fourni directement par Julia La Roche ou son partenaire de plateforme de podcast. Si vous pensez que quelqu'un utilise votre œuvre protégée sans votre autorisation, vous pouvez suivre le processus décrit ici https://fr.player.fm/legal.

✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia

Tom McClellan, editor of The McClellan Market Report, and a prominent figure in the field of stock market analysis and technical analysis, joins Julia La Roche on episode 193 to share his views on the economy and markets in a presentation of charts.

Tom is the son of Sherman and Marian McClellan, who are recognized for creating the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Index in 1969. Tom McClellan has done extensive analytical spreadsheet development for the stock and commodities markets, including the synthesizing of the four-year Presidential Cycle Pattern. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point and served as an Army helicopter pilot for 11 years.

**DISCLOSURE** Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.9% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 8/23/2024. A bond’s yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond’s YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account.

Lock in your 6.9% yield: https://public.com/julia

Timestamps:

0:00 Welcome back Tom

1:00 Where we are today in the markets

2:00 McClellan Oscillator showing the bulls are no longer in control

6:30 Presidential Cycle Pattern

10:50 Liquidity

12:40 Gold

20:29 Japanese Yen

22:00 Mexican Peso

23:25 Gold

25:25 Dollar

31:40 McClellan Oscillator explained, signaling an overbought and bearish condition in the markets

33:16 Are recession signals flashing in the market?

36:00 Demographics

38:27 Market timing

40:41 Federal Reserve is 13 months overdue for cutting

43:00 Presidential Cycle

46:29 Parting thoughts

Links:

https://www.mcoscillator.com/

https://twitter.com/McClellanOsc

  continue reading

196 episodes

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