US/China Trade War to Resume Next Week? Biden to Hike Tariffs

Grain Markets and Other Stuff

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0:00 Biden to Hike Tariffs
2:48 China Demand Problems
6:38 Brazil Drought Continues
8:05 NOPA Crush Miss
9:46 Crop Progress
11:50 Export Inspections
12:45 Flash Sale
Here’s the latest scoop on the markets and key developments! 🌾📈
🛠️ Tariff Hikes on Chinese Imports
The Biden administration announced major tariff increases on Chinese imports last week:
100% Tariff on EVs
50% Tariff on Solar Cells
25% Tariff on Steel, Aluminum, and Key Minerals
These hikes aim to protect US industries from China’s state-controlled practices, but critics warn they could disrupt supply chains and raise costs for consumers. China has responded, claiming these tariffs will backfire on the US. The new tariffs will take effect on September 27.
🌾 Grain Imports Drop in China
China's economic slowdown has led to a sharp decrease in grain imports:
Only 13,400mt of US corn sold to China this season.
Meat consumption cuts are impacting grain needs for livestock.
US soybean exports to China are at their lowest in 16 years, primarily due to Brazil’s competitive pricing.
☀️ Drought Impacting Brazil
Brazilian soybean planting is struggling due to hot and dry conditions:
Only 0.06% of expected soybean acres planted so far, compared to 0.15% last year.
Rain is expected mainly in the southern states, with Mato Grosso facing no rain this week.
The first corn crop planting is also lagging at 19% planted.
📊 NOPA Crush Data Released
The National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) reported a decline in soybean crush:
158 million bushels processed in August, the lowest since September 2021.
End-of-month soybean oil stocks fell to 1.1 billion pounds, a 10-month low.
🌽 US Corn and Soybean Conditions
Corn Conditions: Rated at 65% good to excellent, slightly up from last week.
Soybean Conditions: Rated at 64%, consistent with trade expectations.
Both crops are seeing early harvesting progress, with 9% of corn and 6% of soybeans harvested nationally.
🌾 Wheat Harvest Ahead of Schedule
US spring wheat is 92% harvested, which is ahead of the average.
Winter wheat planting is 14% complete, surpassing average expectations.
🚢 Corn Shipments Disappointing
US corn exports were down last week:
521,118mt (21 million bushels) inspected for export, a 38% drop from the previous week.
Soybean shipments saw a slight increase, while wheat shipments met expectations.
🌟 Flash Sales of Soybeans
US exporters sold 132,000mt (5 million bushels) of soybeans to unknown destinations for the 2024/2025 marketing year.
Stay tuned for more updates as the situation evolves! 🌱✨