Exploring threats to global stability from Ukraine to China to the Middle East with host Gavin Esler – former BBC News presenter, Washington correspondent and host of Newsnight – plus Ukraine-based war reporter Oz Katerji and independent conflict analyst Emma Beals. This Is Not A Drill dives deep into the dangers, corruption, conflicts, disinformation, rivalries and ruthless realpolitik that are making our world ever more dangerous. Support This Is Not A Drill on Patreon from just £3 per mon ...
…
continue reading
1
Meet the Climate Conmen – How fossil fuel’s fixers created a new age of disinformation
47:36
47:36
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
47:36
The climate emergency is more urgent than ever, yet powerful interests are still pushing back on solutions and peddling climate denial. From fossil fuel giants to populist governments and greedy online grifters, they sow doubts about four decades of research and undermine a hard-won global political consensus. Who are the Climate Con-Men and how ar…
…
continue reading
Assad’s stunning fall ends a tyrannical 53-year rule in Syria, leaving monstrous crimes against human rights exposed, rocking both Iran and Russia on their heels, and handing the country’s future back to its people. Where next for Syria? Will the rebel fighters coalesce into a working government and avoid the factionalism which would jeopardise the…
…
continue reading
1
Islamic State – How global chaos is bringing terror back
44:39
44:39
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
44:39
• Give or get 20% off a year’s Patreon backing for TINAD in our Black Friday sale. This year marks a decade since ISIS hit the headlines with their dramatic rise to power in Iraq. It would be easy now to think it is a thing of the past. But in 2024 the group is having a resurgence in Syria, has a presence across Africa, and has morphed into a world…
…
continue reading
1
Trump's trade war: How risky a game is he playing?
43:21
43:21
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
43:21
• Give or get 20% off a year’s Patreon backing for TINAD in our Black Friday sale. Donald Trump’s talk of boosted tariffs has sparked concerns of a major trade war with America’s rivals. The Chinese government has responded that “no one will win a trade war” and with economists warning that tariffs are liable to increase inflation, who will be the …
…
continue reading
1
Trump against the world – Can diplomats handle him?
32:53
32:53
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
32:53
• Give or get 20% off a year’s Patreon backing for TINAD in our Black Friday sale. Donald Trump operates in a zero sum world. If he’s going to win, you have to lose. So what will his brutal negotiation methods mean for global diplomatic corps who are already rocked by our turbulent times? Trump is promising an immediate end to the war in Ukraine an…
…
continue reading
1
Europe’s wake-up call – The coming war with Putin
40:09
40:09
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
40:09
• Give or get 20% off a year’s Patreon backing for TINAD in our Black Friday sale. A destabilised Europe faces a stark choice, now more urgent since Trump’s victory. Make urgent preparations for a shooting war with Russia on our own territory – or prepare to lose that war, with all the terrifying consequences. That’s the argument of Keir Giles, aut…
…
continue reading
1
Ukraine-Russia update: Has Zelenskyy’s Kursk gamble paid off?
45:39
45:39
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
45:39
President Zelenskyy’s attack into the Russian-occupied Kursk region of Ukraine was audacious and unexpected. But with Ukrainian resources stretched thin after three years of fighting – and with thousands of North Korean troops arriving in Russia to reinvigorate Putin’s war effort – is it working? Will the alliance between Putin and fellow dictator …
…
continue reading
1
Kleptocracy Now – How the Global Corruption Machine is seizing power
46:52
46:52
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
46:52
Corruption, bribery and cronyism aren’t just criminal matters. International alliances of corrupt states and their enablers are undermining democracies and international law, creating a world without rules where everything and anyone can be bought. From Putin’s gangster state to COVID corruption and favouritism in the UK, the West’s response has be…
…
continue reading
1
Taster – ‘Why do people join cults?’ – from the new series of Why? with Emma Kennedy
11:43
11:43
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
11:43
Try the new science and psychology podcast Why? – from the producers of This Is Not A Drill. Why? is the podcast for curious minds. Every Thursday, presenter Emma Kennedy talks to experts and theorists to discover the science and psychology of why we are the way we are. In the first episode: Why do people join cults? Emma Kennedy talks to world-lea…
…
continue reading
1
How one island shapes the US-China rivalry
45:35
45:35
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
45:35
The transformation of China in the past quarter of a century has seen the nation become one of the world’s dominant powers alongside the United States. At the centre of this changing global balance lies the future of Taiwan, both separated from and inextricably linked to China. In the latest This Is Not A Drill, Gavin Esler asks what the Taiwan que…
…
continue reading
1
Can democracies trust the Tech Titans?
39:57
39:57
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
39:57
Big Tech’s innovations have remade every aspect of everyday life – but its libertarian-fuelled political side is darker. Elon Musk has repurposed X/Twitter as an active part of Trump’s re-election campaign, platforming far right agitators like Tucker Carlson, and spreading incendiary misinformation. Brazil is locked in a legal battle with Twitter o…
…
continue reading
1
Israel/Iran: Can America Stop A Regional War?
33:13
33:13
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
33:13
A year since Hamas’s attacks on Israel and the beginning of Israel’s devastation of Gaza, the conflict spills over to Lebanon – and brings Tel Aviv and Tehran into direct military confrontation. Gavin Esler explores hopes for a ceasefire and political resolution in the Middle East with diplomacy expert Randa Slim, and Dr H A Hellyer – scholar at th…
…
continue reading
1
Israel / Iran: What the escalation means
27:15
27:15
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
27:15
After a week of drastic escalation in the conflict in the Middle East, what will come next? Recording on October 1st just as reports emerged from the US warning of the Iranian missile attack on Israel, Gavin Esler spoke to Professor Ali Ansari, founding director of the Institute of Iranian Studies at the University of St Andrews, to discuss Iran’s …
…
continue reading
1
Israel and Hezbollah latest: Netanyahu's deadly gamble
31:20
31:20
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
31:20
Lebanon faces intensifying conflict after the deadly escalation in Israel’s rivalry with paramilitary group Hezbollah. An increasing series of skirmishes between Hezbollah and Israel has occurred since tensions in the region exploded with Hamas’ attack on Israel in October 2023 and Israel’s subsequent bombing campaign in Gaza. Now Israeli Prime Min…
…
continue reading
1
Are we facing a new nuclear arms race?
38:51
38:51
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
38:51
After decades of treaties and diplomacy curbing fears over the use of nuclear weaponry, does today’s conflicted world surface the threat of a new nuclear age? Following the brinkmanship of the Cold War, an era of non-proliferation saw stockpiles of weapons cut dramatically. Yet concerns grow that nuclear arsenals may expand again. Gavin Esler discu…
…
continue reading
1
How to take down the tyrants
35:45
35:45
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
35:45
What does it take to get rid of a dictator? How do these tyrannical figures cling onto power - and how does this power warp their decision-making? Can they ever know when someone is telling them the truth, when everyone around them lives in fear? To find out, Gavin Esler speaks to Marcel Dirsus, whose new book How Tyrants Fall: And How Nations Surv…
…
continue reading
Artificial Intelligence is continuing to develop whether we like it or not. But how will it affect our lives, and what should we make of the endless doom-laden scenarios suggesting humans are about to be rendered obsolete by machines? How scared should we all be about A.I., and does it offer more opportunities, or potential dangers? Gavin Esler dis…
…
continue reading
1
Israel and Hezbollah: Is all-out war inevitable?
50:07
50:07
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
50:07
Recent deadly missile exchanges are the largest escalation between Israel and the Lebanon-based Islamist paramilitary group Hezbollah since the outbreak of the war in Gaza. Many fear it’s a precursor to a wider conflict which could engulf the region. But is it all brinkmanship? Can diplomacy head off an Israeli-Hezbollah conflict, and a potentially…
…
continue reading
1
Hotter Seas, Higher Tensions
48:03
48:03
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
48:03
Climate change doesn’t just mean dire consequences for food, water, human migration and long-term human survival. As the seas heat up they create critical security issues, from impacts on military sonar to spikes in turbulence threatening commercial flights, from new theatres of war to suddenly fragile states and strengthened terrorist groups. Are …
…
continue reading
1
Ukraine’s Gamble: The Invasion of Russia
41:09
41:09
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
41:09
The course of the war in Ukraine changed dramatically on Tuesday 6th August when Ukraine launched an unprecedented incursion on Russian territory. The Kursk Offensive took Moscow entirely by surprise, with thousands of Ukrainian troops moving into the region – taking control of villages – and claiming 1,000 square kilometres of Russian territory. W…
…
continue reading
1
Putin is beating our sanctions. Here’s how to stop him.
43:07
43:07
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
43:07
Russia is the most sanctioned country in the world. The Ukraine war might have left her internationally isolated and starved of resources – but Putin and his oligarch court are adept at avoiding financial restrictions, cutting side deals that enable them to fund the war and protect their power. Are the West’s sanctions working? How can we tighten t…
…
continue reading
The days of Western economic, cultural and military dominance are fading. China’s influence and military assertiveness are growing. Rising economies like Brazil, Indonesia and India are increasing powerful. What will the world look like when the West doesn’t write the rules any more? Gavin Esler talks to former UK diplomat Samir Puri about his book…
…
continue reading
1
The Dictators’ Cartel and What It Wants – Anne Applebaum talks to Gavin Esler
38:05
38:05
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
38:05
The existential threats to world stability are working together. Autocrats in Moscow, Beijing, Tehran and Pyongyang are moving in concert with both their clients and fellow travellers in Zimbabwe, Venezuela, Myanmar, Belarus and other despotisms. United not by ideology but by a love of repression, wealth and power, these new tyrants strike deals to…
…
continue reading
1
America’s crisis is the world’s crisis
53:35
53:35
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
53:35
The US is currently suffering a crisis in democracy, and its effects are far-reaching. But how does it relate to the global rise in authoritarianism and conflict? In the wake of compounding concerns created by the recent Supreme Court immunity decision and increasing calls for Joe Biden to step down from the Presidential nomination due to his age, …
…
continue reading
Europe’s most powerful countries are in political crisis. Emmanuelle Macron’s big gamble to halt the progress of Marine le Pen’s Rassemblement National seems to have paid off – for now. But Germany’s far right Alternative für Deutschland continues to eat into the national vote and the country’s post-war consensus. What does the rise of extremists w…
…
continue reading
1
Volt Typhoon and the new cyber war
45:29
45:29
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
45:29
A recent large-scale attack on an NHS provider by the Russian based criminal group Qilin has exposed lingering vulnerabilities in our digital infrastructure - but an ongoing Chinese state sponsored attack, known as Volt Typhoon, has been described by US officials as a game changer in the realm of cyber warfare. Emma Beals speaks to former founding …
…
continue reading
1
The Battle for Kyiv and beyond
50:57
50:57
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
50:57
How did the Ukrainian people face down an invasion of unprecedented savagery from Putin’s Russia? And how did the battle for Ukraine’s capital shape the war that followed? Illia Ponomarenko is the author of the new book I Will Show You How It Was: The Story of Wartime Kyiv and former defence correspondent at the Kyiv Independent. He talks to Oz Kat…
…
continue reading
1
Defence of the Realm – How will Britain’s next Government handle a new age of insecurity?
47:55
47:55
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
47:55
The West’s era of supremacy is over. Britain’s next Prime Minister will face the most dangerous security environment since the Second World War – a new age of critical insecurity. From Ukraine to the Middle East to China/Taiwan and beyond, the threats are piling up: cyberattacks, nuclear intimidation, assassinations on our territory and more. How w…
…
continue reading
1
The Trump Legacy – How will the Felon President fit into the Republican story?
42:09
42:09
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
42:09
Whether Trump wins the Presidential Election or not, his dark place in American history is assured. He’s not just the first former or sitting President to be convicted of criminal activity, and the first to attempt to overturn an election. He has changed the Republican Party and its voter base deeply and possibly irrevocably. How will Trump be reme…
…
continue reading
1
Far Right on the march – What Europe’s populist surge means
40:27
40:27
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
40:27
Hard right parties are sweeping Europe and analysts fear they will do well in this week’s elections across the EU. How deeply are radical right parties, with their immigration and culture war fixations and indulgence of Putin, distorting politics from Spain to Germany and Poland and beyond? What does their success mean for the EU’s stability and th…
…
continue reading
1
The Bear On The Doorstep – Poland, Georgia, and Eastern Europe’s fight against Russian power
42:27
42:27
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
42:27
What’s it like to live next to the world’s worst neighbour: Vladimir Putin’s Russia? In 2024, pro-democracy Georgians are beaten for resisting their pro-Moscow government from enacting a Putinesque “foreign agents” law. Poland is rearming against the Russian threat, and the Baltic states of the former USSR are subjected to hybrid warfare from their…
…
continue reading
1
“China is now Putin’s master” – Ex-defence secretary Ben Wallace speaks
43:15
43:15
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
43:15
As Defence Secretary, former Scots Guard Ben Wallace was one of few well-respected ministers during the Johnson years. In office he faced the Afghanistan withdrawal and Russia’s war on Ukraine. As he prepares to leave Parliament, he tells Oz Katerji why Europe must re-arm to support Ukraine and deter Putin’s Russia; how Netanyahu has over-extended …
…
continue reading
1
Will technology kill democracy?
46:53
46:53
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
46:53
In 2024 four billion people will vote in the biggest election year in history, which will see existential tests for democracy in the US, India and elsewhere. What is shaping the battle between democracy and autocracy? And who is winning? Ellection-distorting technology is outpacing governments’ ability to regulate it. Can democracy survive the unco…
…
continue reading
The new Cold War between China and the US isn’t just fought on the digital plane. China is supplying equipment to Russia, intimidating Taiwan, bringing countries across Africa and Asia into its orbit – and, according to US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, attempting to influence the US Presidential Election. What does Xi Jinping really want? Can…
…
continue reading
1
How America lost its New World Order… and what comes next
43:01
43:01
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
43:01
America’s war to liberate Kuwait from Saddam Hussein in 1991 was supposed to inaugurate a New World Order. President George HW Bush spoke of protecting ‘“peace, security, freedom and the rule of law… such is a world worthy of our children’s future.” But the failed wars in Afghanistan and Iraq in the 2000s, China’s resurgence and Russia’s invasion o…
…
continue reading
1
Gold Wars, Russia’s Africa Corps… and the biggest mass migration of the 21st Century
49:32
49:32
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
49:32
The world has responded with stunning cynicism to the wave of coups d’etat across Central Africa – either ignoring the violence, suffering and the rise of military strongmen, or exploiting it for their own ends. From Mali, Guinea and Burkina Faso to the bloody civil war and mass displacement in Sudan, Oz Katerji finds that the Sahel region isn’t on…
…
continue reading
1
Emergency Edition: Iran attacks Israel – what next?
28:55
28:55
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
28:55
Iran’s drone attacks on Israel, in retaliation for an Israeli strike on its embassy in Damascus, shocked the world this weekend. Israel’s divided war cabinet is considering a response, the US has warned it will not take part in a counteroffensive, and world leaders fear an escalation into regional war. But will it really happen? Gavin Esler speaks …
…
continue reading
1
Guns, Drugs and Crypto – Who’s funding the return of asymmetric warfare?
41:43
41:43
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
41:43
Why does the militarily weaker side lose many battles but often win the war? In the 21st Century the David-vs-Goliath threat of asymmetric warfare – where small non-state militias and terror groups defeat vastly better armed nation states in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere – is back. Now armed groups including Yemen’s Houthi, Hamas and Islamic Stat…
…
continue reading
1
Dangerous Waters – How the world shipping system became a new battleground
42:50
42:50
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
42:50
Houthi attacks on shipping have thrown global supply lines into turmoil, and led 20 countries to intervene militarily. But the Red Sea logistics crisis is just the latest in series of shocks to the world trade system, from the Pandemic to Ukraine and beyond. What does it mean when any pirate with a missile and a TikTok account can hold domestic sup…
…
continue reading
1
Update: Russia after the Crocus Hall massacre
15:25
15:25
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
15:25
Special edition: On Friday March 22, Islamic State gunmen murdered more than 130 people in Moscow’s Crocus City Hall concert venue, just 12 miles from the Kremlin. Putin tried to direct the blame towards Ukraine, but it has emerged that Russia’s FSB had ignored plausible warnings of an impending terror attack from Western security services. Gavin E…
…
continue reading
1
The new Dark Age of Espionage
45:04
45:04
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
45:04
The spying game was supposed to fade into history with the Cold War. But Vladimir Putin’s historic grievances, obsession with Ukraine and need to placate his own intelligence agencies have sent a new wave of espionage across the world. The West thinks we’re at peace. The Russians know we’re at war. So what are Western intelligence agencies going to…
…
continue reading
1
Defeating Russia’s Information War Machine – with Peter Pomerantsev
47:08
47:08
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
47:08
Putin has used digital disinformation against Ukraine and the West since long before the Russian invasion, undermining US and EU support for Kyiv by smearing Ukrainians as Nazis and denying Russia’s many atrocities. Are we already in an information war? And how do we win it? Gavin Esler talks to longterm Putin-watcher and post-truth analyst Peter P…
…
continue reading
1
Iran and the US – Inside the Shadow War
46:03
46:03
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
46:03
Iran – America’s arch-enemy and the Middle East’s malign “mini-Imperial power” – fans conflicts from Ukraine to Israel to Yemen, Iraq and Lebanon, and is said to be only weeks away from developing a nuclear weapon. But the Islamic Revolution is under sustained attack from within, under the banner of ‘Woman, Life, Freedom’. Can Iran maintain its har…
…
continue reading
1
Ukraine two years on – Inside Ukraine’s defence.
36:57
36:57
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
36:57
Russia’s war on Ukraine two years on. This time: How is Ukraine’s defence of its territory holding up under Putin’s onslaught? How do Ukrainians see the Trump Right’s obstruction of $60bn of aid to Kyiv? Is the loss of Avdiivka to Russia really what it seems? And how could the War end? Ukrainian journalist and Chatham House fellow Olga Tokariuk tel…
…
continue reading
1
Ukraine two years on – Inside Russia’s state of terror
51:05
51:05
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
51:05
The first of two specials covering Russia’s war on Ukraine two years on. This time: Inside Russia. Avdiivka has fallen, Alexei Navalny is dead, and pro-Russia Republicans are starving Kyiv of ammunition. Putin finally feels the war could turn in his direction. Is he right? And how does the Russian tyrant keep control of a country where a restive mo…
…
continue reading
1
New Power in the Gulf – The rise of “MBZ”
41:50
41:50
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
41:50
From Cop28 to Manchester City to the attempted purchase of the Telegraph newspaper, the United Arab Emirates are suddenly flexing power and prestige across the Gulf. Behind it all is Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, known as MBZ, who mixes a show of modernisation with an iron will, especially regarding human rights. Who is MBZ? How has his tiny …
…
continue reading
1
Trump vs NATO: Could Europe survive alone?
40:37
40:37
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
40:37
The fear that a re-elected Trump would pull the US out of NATO haunts European leaders. Now he says he’d actively encourage Putin to attack European countries who haven’t “paid their bills”. Could a second Trump presidency really open the door for war in Europe? What contingency plans is NATO making? Has Europe really underspent on defence? And is …
…
continue reading
1
North Korea: Kim Jong Un’s journey to the edge
37:25
37:25
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
37:25
Could the belligerence of North Korea – enigma, dynastic dictatorship, nuclear-armed regional menace – be coming to a violent head? Leader Kim Jong Un has torn up his country’s long-cherished goal of reunifying with the South; is ordering provocative missile launches; and ratcheting up tensions with the United States. Could he take the final step i…
…
continue reading
1
The world rearms – Panel special with Gavin Esler, Emma Beals and Oz Katerji
45:01
45:01
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
45:01
The world’s future is darkening. Ukraine’s defence is in peril, the Red Sea and Israel/Hamas conflicts threaten to join hands, the US is stationing nuclear weapons in England again, and even conscription is back on the agenda. Where are these multiple crises in Ukraine and the Middle East heading? The This Is Not A Drill team of Gavin Esler, Kyiv-b…
…
continue reading
1
Ukraine vs Russia: Are “peace talks” just a Putin trap?
50:57
50:57
Lire Plus Tard
Lire Plus Tard
Des listes
J'aime
Aimé
50:57
Is peace with Putin even possible? In the early days of Russia’s war on Ukraine, negotiations seemed viable. Then came Bucha and the revelations of Russian atrocities on Ukrainian soil. Now Russia is again “putting out feelers” for peace talks – but would negotiation simply give Putin a chance to consolidate his gains and regroup for more? Oz Kater…
…
continue reading