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Échos du futur

Olivier Parent | FuturHebdo

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« Nos sociétés sont en perpétuelle évolution. Les innovations s’enchaînent, les horizons changent, chacun cherche un sens au présent qui fuit et à l’avenir dont on croit percevoir les premiers échos. Deux fois par mois, le podcast Échos du futur vous invite à découvrir l’analyse prospective d’une oeuvre de science-fiction, ce genre qui permet à des romanciers, des cinéastes, des dessinateurs de nous offrir leurs interprétations de ces échos du futur. En se penchant sur ce que cette œuvre nou ...
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While 21st-century globalization and international trade dramatically changed how multinational corporations operate, the way they are taxed is largely based on early 20th-century thinking. Recent efforts by the OECD and the UN to modernize the international corporate tax system include a minimum corporate tax to make it more equitable. The IMF has…
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Stories can unify or divide but our ability to imagine them is uniquely human. Cooperation and trust, built through shared stories and narratives, are the foundation of human societies and economies. So what happens when humans no longer hold the pen? Yuval Noah Harari is a historian, philosopher, and author of several books on human evolution, inc…
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BIENVENUE À GATTACA Réalisation : Andrew Niccol Scénario : Andrew Niccol Durée : 106 min. Sortie : 1997 Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Columbia Pictures, Jersey Films, Columbia TriStar Films (distribution) Voir Bienvenue à Gattaca ____________________________ En 2027, le film Bienvenue à Gattaca d’Andrew Niccol aura 30 ans. Malgré cette…
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With all the instability within the Middle East and North Africa region of late, Egypt has nonetheless managed to reign in soaring inflation and win its largest-ever foreign investment. Egypt’s efforts to restore macroeconomic stability in recent years have led to an arrangement under the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility for Egypt, which makes availabl…
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Aujourd’hui, rediffusion de la conférence « Construire l’avenir : Et si l’utopie était un piège ? » donnée le 9 octobre 2021, à la Cite des sciences et de l’industrie, Paris. Elle réunissait Sylvane Casademont, ancienne directrice de l’IHEST, Ariel Kyrou, essayiste, Jeanne L’Hévéder, journaliste, et Thomas Michaud, prospectiviste. Olivier Partant a…
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Working from home was not an option for most people before March 11, 2020, when work and home life suddenly collided. The pandemic upended many aspects of doing business, but the daily commute is one routine that seems unlikely to return to what it was. Nicholas Bloom was studying the potential impact of remote work long before the pandemic launche…
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WALL-E • Réalisation : Andrew Stanton • Scénario : Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter, • Durée : 98 min. • Sortie : 2008 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Pixar Animation Studios Walt Disney Pictures, Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures (distribution) • Voir Wall-E ____________________________ En plus d’être un merveilleux film d’a…
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The world has changed since postwar economic thought placed GDP growth as its guiding principle. 20th-century progress has pushed planetary resources to the limit and brings the sustainability of traditional macroeconomic models into question. In this podcast, Kate Raworth talks with journalist Rhoda Metcalfe about her alternative model Doughnut Ec…
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INTERSTELLAR • Réalisation : Christopher Nolan • Scénario : Christopher Nolan, Jonathan Nolan • Acteurs principaux : Matthew McConaughey, Anne Hathaway, Jessica Chastain • Durée : 169 min. • Sortie : 2014 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Warner Bros., Paramount Pictures, Legendary Pictures, Syncopy Films, Warner Bros. Pictures (distribu…
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For many emerging market economies, moving from an export-oriented strategy with labor-intensive manufacturing to a more sophisticated production process was key to their development. But the world is quickly changing, and Raghuram Rajan says India need not follow that same path. In their new book, Breaking the Mold, the former Reserve Bank of Indi…
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For decades, governments have been tapping into global sovereign debt markets to smooth ups and downs in revenue with the hope that it would help spur investment. But what happens when government borrowing fails to deliver, and the citizens are left paying the bill? Mark Aguiar says emerging market and developing economies are especially vulnerable…
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Petite histoire subjective et non-académique de la science-fiction EPISODE 4 : Une créativité qui participe à renouveler le génie humain Trois chapitres précèdent ce nouvel épisode de cette Petite histoire de la science-fiction. Ils ont été l’occasion de se plonger dans l’histoire de l’humanité pour montrer que la science-fiction, récit imaginaire …
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The world is changing so quickly it’s hard to think of one aspect of our economic lives that hasn’t shifted from what it was only a few years ago. Trade is no exception. New technologies, the re-emergence of industrial policy, and rising geopolitical tensions are all putting added pressure on the international trading system. Michele Ruta is a trad…
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NEUROMANCIEN • De : William Gibson • Titre original : Neuromancer • Publié en : 1984 • Éditeur/Crédits d’images : Ace Books (1984)... Au diable vauvert (2020) • Lire Neuromancien ____________________________ Neuromancien est un roman de William Gibson. Il suit les déboires d’un anti-héros impliqué dans une enquête qui le mènera aux frontières du ré…
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Aging populations in many advanced and emerging market economies mean shrinking workforces, weighing on growth. However, the opposite is true in low-income countries where populations are growing, and the expanding workforce may lack the skills for the job market. How can these two scenarios offset each other? Lisa Kolovich says women hold the key.…
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Petite histoire subjective et non-académique de la science-fiction EPISODE 3 : Des auteurs de science-fiction dont le génie transcende le genre Souvenez-vous, dans les épisodes précédents de ce podcast, pour raconter l’histoire de la science-fiction, nous sommes partis aux origines de l’humanité… pour nous arrêter à la période de l’entre-deux-guerr…
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Nigeria’s new administration has set out on an ambitious reform path to stabilize its currency, regain market confidence, and tame inflation. In this podcast, Governor Olayemi Cardoso and IMF Africa Department head, Abebe Aemro Selassie discuss the role of Nigeria’s central bank in restoring macroeconomic stability. The conversation took place as p…
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TIME OUT : • Réalisation : Andrew Niccol • Scénario : Andrew Niccol • Acteurs principaux : Justin Timberlake, Amanda Seyfried, Olivia Wilde, Cillian Murphy, Matthew Bomer • Durée : 209 min. • Sortie : 2011 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Regency Entreprise, Regency Pictures, Strike Entertainment, 20th Century Fox. Voir Time Out _______…
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Economic growth is often seen as the core ingredient to social development, but it’s a relatively new idea. So what did pre-growth society look like and how much growth can modern society sustain? In his latest book, Daniel Susskind argues that economic policy should consider the costs of growth more carefully and realign the drivers to better fit …
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Petite histoire subjective et non-académique de la science-fiction EPISODE 2 : Le génie des origines de ce qui n’est pas encore nommément de la science-fiction. Nous sommes au début de la révolution industrielle. En 1816, sur les rives du lac Léman, en Suisse, une jeune femme subit le machisme de son mari, le poète William Shelley, et de Lord Byron…
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Central banks worldwide share common practices in how they operate, but the UK’s central bank is unique in how it makes its rate decisions. Catherine Mann is a Professor of the Practice at Brandeis University and one of four external voting members of the Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England. In this podcast, Mann says the pickup in cap…
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It’s no mystery where the IMF was born but its origin story might surprise you. While the spotlight was on the charismatic British economist John Maynard Keynes during the 1944 Bretton Woods Conference, a little-known American economist was working in the shadows. Harry Dexter White’s plan would lead to the creation of the IMF and forever change th…
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While African countries have little to do with what’s causing the climate crisis, they are feeling the brunt of the extreme weather patterns and left footing a climate-mitigation bill they can’t afford. Michael Olabisi is an assistant professor at Michigan State University and studies sustainable development in low-income countries. In this podcast…
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HER : • Réalisation : Spike Jonze • Scénario : Spike Jonze • Durée : 126 min. • Sortie : 2013 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Annapurna Pictures, Wild Bunch Distribution. • Voir Her ____________________________ Il s’agit du seul film de science-fiction du réalisateur Spike Jonze mais à bien y réfléchir, est-ce vraiment de l’anticipatio…
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When disaster strikes, the knee-jerk reaction is to seek public funds for support, but private donors have the agility that governments often don’t. And while capital flows to Africa slowed to a trickle during the pandemic, philanthropy and remittances held steady. Una Osili is the Associate Dean for Research and International Programs at Indiana U…
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Petite histoire subjective et non-académique de la science-fiction Avertissement : l'épisode de ce podcast n’a pas de valeur encyclopédique. Il tient plus de l’essai et est conditionné par la perception que l’auteur a du sujet qu’il traite et par sa culture propre. Des historiens de la littérature pourront aussi juger qu’à embrasser de trop grandes…
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Conflict disrupts lives and economies everywhere, but recent IMF analytical work suggests the economic impact of conflict in the Middle East and Central Asia has proven larger and more persistent than in other regions. In this podcast, Ghassan Salamé (SciencesPo Paris), Mark Malloch-Brown (Open Society Foundations), and Rola Dashti (UNESCWA) discus…
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SILENT RUNNING • Réalisation : Douglas Trumbull • Scénario : Deric Washburn, Michael Cimino, Steven Bochco • Durée : 89 min. • Sortie : 1972 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Amblin Entertainment, Reliance Entertainment, Village Roadshow Pictures, Dune Entertainment, Warner Bros. • Voir Silent Running ____________________________ Produit…
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The World Economic Outlook is more than projected growth rates. The research behind those projections tells the story of how 190 countries, slowly but steadily, found their way through the fog of the past few years to emerge a testament to the resilience of the global economy. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas is IMF Chief Economist and brings together the…
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Sub-Saharan Africa is slowly emerging from four turbulent years with higher growth expected for nearly two thirds of countries in the region. But while inflation has almost halved and debt has broadly stabilized, economies are still grappling with financing shortages and impending debt repayments. Wenjie Chen is deputy head of the team that publish…
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READY PLAYER ONE : • Réalisation : Steven Spielberg • Scénario : Zak Penn, Ernest Cline • Durée : 140 min. • Sortie : 2018 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Amblin Entertainment, Reliance Entertainment, Village Roadshow Pictures, Dune Entertainment, Warner Bros. • Voir Ready Player One ____________________________ Ce film de Steven Spiel…
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As inflation slowly subsides and optimism pervades financial markets, the latest Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) warns of potential setbacks. Fabio Natalucci and Jason Wu head the GFSR team. In this podcast, they discuss risks associated with debt and the private credit market, struggling real estate sectors in China and the US, cybersecur…
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IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva kicks off the 2024 IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings from the Atlantic Council in Washington, DC, with her customary curtain raiser speech. Go to IMF.org to follow the Spring Meetings and find all the IMF flagship reports, including the World Economic Outlook, the Global Financial Stability Report, and the Fi…
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Even optimal economic policies create winners and losers, and that’s where politics steps in. Trade liberalization is an example of a policy that can make a country better off as a whole, but what happens to workers who lose out to cheaper goods? Jeffry Frieden says while politics is often messy, it’s how society puts a value on things economists c…
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PROXIMA : • Réalisation : Alice Winocour • Scénario : Alice Winocour en collaboration avec Jean-Stéphane Bron • Durée : 107 min. • Sortie : 2019 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Dharamsala, Darius Films et Pathé Distribution • Voir Proxima ____________________________ Le film Proxima d’Alice Winocour, qui date de 2019, est un film d’ant…
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For decades, the standard labor market model has been ruled by supply and demand, but a younger generation of labor economists is questioning that approach. Suresh Naidu is a Professor of Economics and International Public Affairs at Columbia University. He says while the supply and demand model is not wrong, it only tells part of the story. In thi…
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It wasn’t that long ago when retiring in one’s 50s was an achievable goal. But with life expectancy steadily rising and pension systems doomed to fall short, the prospects for an early retirement are fading fast. Olivia Mitchell wrote the book on retirement and modern pension research and has spent her career helping people improve their financial …
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MARS EXPRESS : • Réalisation : Jérémie Périn • Scénario : Jérémie Périn, Laurent Sarfati • Durée : 85 min. • Sortie : 2023 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Everybody On Deck, Gebeka Films • Voir Mars Express ____________________________ Ce film de science-fiction de Jérémie Périn, sorti en novembre 2023, est une nouvelle variation sur l…
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John Maynard Keynes was one of the most influential economists of the 20th century and the father of modern macroeconomics. His novel lectures at King’s College, Cambridge, inspired economists and policymakers of the time and continues to do so a hundred years later. In this podcast, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva delivers a speech insp…
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Economists build models based on basic assumptions of human behavior. But people are complicated, right? Do Germans who grew up on opposite sides of the Berlin Wall make the same financial decisions today? Ulrike Malmendier is a behavioral economist whose innovative research has shown that experiential learning rewires the brain to make decisions b…
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RENAISSANCE : • Réalisation : Christian Volckman • Scénario : Alexandre de La Patellière et Matthieu Delaporte • Durée : 105 min. • Sortie : 2006 • Production/Distribution/Crédits d’images : Onyx Films, Millimages et Pathé • Voir Renaissance ____________________________ Le film de Christian Volckman est un film d’anticipation étonnant à bien des ég…
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Countless resources and billions of dollars have been directed at poverty alleviation over the decades and yet almost 10 percent of the world’s population is still struggling to survive... not only in developing countries but in rich countries too. Why do so many anti-poverty efforts fall short? Martin Kalisa says there is more to poverty than inco…
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OUTLAND : • Réalisation : Peter Hyams • Scénario : Peter Hyams • Distribution : Sean Connery, Peter Boyle, Frances Sternhagen • Durée : 112 minutes • Sortie : 1981 • Production/Diffusion/Crédits images et sons : The Ladd Company, Outland Productions, Warner Bros. • Voir Outland ____________________________ Le film Outland, de Peter Hyams, ne fait p…
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Industrial policy had its heyday in the 1950s and 60s when governments moved to boost national competitiveness amid burgeoning global trade. Economists have been predicting the return of industrial policy of late- and there’s no question it’s back, but what does today’s industrial policy look like? Michele Ruta is a trade expert at the IMF, and alo…
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DISTRICT 9 : • Réalisation : Neill Blomkamp • Scénario : Neill Blomkamp et Terri Tatchell • Distribution : Sharlto Copley, Jason Cope, Nathalie Boltt, Sylvaine Strike, John Sumner • Durée : 112 minutes • Sortie : 2009 • Production/Diffusion/Crédits images et sons : Majority Entertainment, QED International, TriStar Pictures, WingNut Films, Metropol…
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Productivity has been the driving force behind the five- sometimes six-day workweek, but there is a growing body of evidence that shows a shorter week is equally, if not more productive in many respects. Juliet Schor is a champion of the four-day week and led the charge in the early 90s with her book The Overworked American, which studies the pitfa…
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THE CREATOR : • Réalisation : Gareth Edwards • Scénario : Gareth Edwards, Chris Weitz • Distribution : John David Washington, Gemma Chan, Ralph Ineson, Allison Janney, Ken Watanabe • Durée : 133 minutes • Sortie : 2023 • Production/Diffusion/Crédits images et sons : 20th Century Studios, Regency Enterprises, Entertainment One, The Walt Disney Compa…
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Behind any good policy stands good data. And as the global economy becomes increasingly digitalized, effective policy and regulation are critical to ensure a stable and equitable financial system. Jim Tebrake is Deputy Director and heads the data and methodology efforts in the IMF Statistics Department. In this podcast, Tebrake says the world of di…
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Artificial intelligence has the power to transform society in so many ways, but only a small number of companies in an even smaller number of countries hold the keys to AI’s development. So what happens when a narrow swath of humanity makes choices that will impact everyone else? Stephanie Bell is a Senior Research Scientist at the Partnership for …
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EX MACHINA : • Réalisation : Alex Garland • Scénario : Alex Garland • Distribution : Oscar Isaac, Alicia Vikander, Domhnall Gleeson • Durée : 108 minutes • Sortie : 2014 • Production/Diffusion/Crédits images et sons : DNA Films, Film4 Productions, Scott Rudin Productions, Universal Pictures. • Voir Ex Machina ____________________________ Ce film de…
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